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15 Ellesmere Street, Manchester, M15 4LZ

UPRN:10093686897Terrace Property2 bedsBuilt -
LeaseholdCouncil Tax: -EPC: B (83)AI-Powered Intelligence
Data freshness:Listing· freshListing: fresh, refreshed 4d ago (2026-09-17T04:00:02.382776+00:00)Price Paid· 2mo agoPrice Paid: ageing, refreshed 2mo ago (2026-08-01T00:05:07.844309+00:00)Planning· 2mo agoPlanning: ageing, refreshed 2mo ago (2026-07-10T09:11:06.359441+00:00)EPC· 4mo agoEPC: stale, refreshed 4mo ago (2026-05-20T10:58:39.129138+00:00)Risk· 3mo agoRisk: ageing, refreshed 3mo ago (2026-07-04T06:46:22.443816+00:00)Connectivity· 3mo agoConnectivity: ageing, refreshed 3mo ago (2026-07-04T20:23:28.637306+00:00)Amenities· 3mo agoAmenities: ageing, refreshed 3mo ago (2026-07-05T20:05:00.707256+00:00)Area· Census 2021Area: static reference data (Census 2021); authoritative and does not refresh
15 Ellesmere Street, Manchester, M15 4LZ
Location map - no listing photos available

HP Score

Strong
Verdict
2 days ago
  • BUY
    Strong fundamentals
  • INVESTIGATE
    Mixed signals - investigate
  • AVOID
    High risk factors
Confidence
High
Sale Estimate
£528,000
£502k - £555kHigh
Estimate
£528k
Range
£502k – £555k
Rent Estimate (pcm)
£3,900
£4k - £4kMedium
Monthly
£3,900
Yield
7.24%

AI Verdict

Derived from HomePortfolio scores

AI summary

15 Ellesmere Street earns a INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 74/100. Investment score 58/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Walkability is good (83/100). Flood risk is rated very low. Tenure is leasehold. Verdict and headline figures are derived from the live HomePortfolio API; narrative deep-dives below combine real signals with modelled analytics.

Key SourcesEPC RegisterZoopla ListingsHP Property IntelligenceOfcom Connected NationsMobile Coveragevalue historyplanning signalsgaz salesHP Walkability v2ONS Census 2021PlanIt / LA PortalsHMLR CCODHMLR Price PaidEnvironment Agency RoFRaSDefra Noise MapOSM AmenitiesOfsted / GIAS
HP Score
74/ 100
High
Investment Score
58/ 100
Moderate
-
Crime Score
-
Low
Walkability
83/ 100
High
Transit & Bike
High
Real Data

Opportunity

Not scored as an opportunity

We will not put a number on this one.

  • listing is a flat but the valuation basis is the whole house at this UPRN - value evidence is not comparable

Withholding a score is deliberate. A number built on missing or stale inputs would look more certain than the evidence allows.

Economics

What happens to your money

Your assumptions
£230,000

At the asking price

£3,900/mo

Evidenced range £3,700-£4,150

5.4%
75%
Cash required
£72,400
Net cash flow
£1,924/mo
Cash on cash
31.9%
Score at this price
-

After a 8% void allowance, 15% management and 10% maintenance. Lender coverage (rent ÷ interest): 5.02 - clears the usual 1.25 test. These are your assumptions, not evidence: only the pre-filled rent and price come from the record.

Risks

What could kill this deal

  • Score confidence is low

    largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion

Property risk deep-dive →flood, subsidence, crime, environment - the full domain

Plan

Before you offer

  1. 1. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.

    The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.

Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.

Valuation & Market

Sale Estimate£528,000
Rent Estimate (pcm)£3,900
Gross Yield7.24%
1y Growth+22.2%
3y Growth-6.4%
5y Growth-6.5%
10y Growth+3.0%
Last Sold Price£250,000 (2018-02-25)

Risk Overview

  • Flood RiskVery low
  • Subsidence1
  • RadonLow
  • MiningUnknown
  • Landslide1
  • Air QualityUnknown
  • NoiseLow

Planning Activity

Recent Apps
0M15 4LZ
Approval Rate
-12mo
Development
low
  • 135013/JO/2022
    Variation of condition 5 (Hard and Soft Landscaping) attached to planning permission 112588/JO/2016 to include off site tree planting
    Rejected

Ownership

  • Corporate Ownership6.1%
  • Overseas OwnershipNo
  • Lease Term Remaining-
  • CovenantsNone
  • Lease TypeLeasehold
  • Last Ownership Change2018-02-25
  • SourceLand Registry

Connectivity

Broadband (Standard)
6 Mbps
Mobile 4G/5G Coverage
-
EV Charger
-
PTAL Rating
-

Area Profile

Median Household Income£36,554
Population Density-
Owner Occupied20%
Age Distribution
0-15 14%16-64 81%65+ 5%

Schools Nearby

  • Crown Street Primary School
    0.3 mi
    -
  • St Wilfrid's RC Primary School
    0.5 mi
    GoodImproving
  • Old Trafford Community Academy
    0.5 mi
    Area grades2024

    Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

  • St Alphonsus RC Primary School
    0.6 mi
    Area grades2024

    Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.

0 of 10 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2025 - demand, not a catchment.

Comparables

View All
  • 11 Ellesmere Street
    -
    £550k
    -
  • 7A Ellesmere Street
    -
    £450k
    -
  • 5A Ellesmere Street
    -
    £577k
    -
  • 15A Ellesmere Street
    -
    £345k
    -