133 Fog Lane, Manchester, M20 6ED
HP Score
- BUYStrong fundamentals
- INVESTIGATEMixed signals - investigate
- AVOIDHigh risk factors
AI Verdict
Derived from HomePortfolio scores
133 Fog Lane earns a INVESTIGATE rating with HP Score 74/100. Investment score 54/100 reflects moderate fundamentals. Walkability is good (81/100). Flood risk is rated very low. Verdict and headline figures are derived from the live HomePortfolio API; narrative deep-dives below combine real signals with modelled analytics.
Opportunity
Not scored as an opportunity
We will not put a number on this one.
- headline score requires rental_economics (no rent estimate available)
What we could establish
- Valuation edge13.3/40
claims [AVM +17.9% (MEDIUM)] → consensus +17.9% → credited 2.9% after backtest shrinkage; single-source claim - capped pending corroboration
- zoopla_valuationsestimate for 77125448· as of 12 Aug 2026
- Seller motivation0/20
0 price cut(s), 25 days on market; calibration: cuts mark staleness, credited as negotiation context only
- zoopla_listingsprice_changes + first_published_date· as of 6 Oct 2026
- Risk & liquidity8.6/10
551 sales/12mo in area; valuation range width 20%
- property_intelligencetransactions_12mo
Withholding a score is deliberate. A number built on missing or stale inputs would look more certain than the evidence allows.
Evidence
Where every number comes from
- zoopla_valuationsestimate for 77125448Valuation edge · as of 12 Aug 2026
- zoopla_listingsprice_changes + first_published_dateSeller motivation · as of 6 Oct 2026
- property_intelligencetransactions_12moRisk & liquidity
Risks
What could kill this deal
Score confidence is low
largely a single source - treat the number as a prompt, not a conclusion
Rental economics could not be scored
no rent estimate available
Property risk deep-dive →flood, subsidence, crime, environment - the full domain
Plan
Before you offer
1. Treat the discount as unconfirmed - compare recent sold prices on the street yourself before pricing an offer around it.
Only one independent source currently supports the valuation edge.
2. Fill the rental economics gap before relying on the score.
no rent estimate available
3. Commission a full structural survey, not a basic condition report.
The score prices market evidence, not the fabric of the building.
Every step above was generated from a specific gap or flag in the evidence - no generic advice, no invented tasks.
Valuation & Market
Risk Overview
- Flood RiskVery low
- Subsidence1
- RadonLow
- MiningUnknown
- Landslide1
- Air QualityUnknown
- NoiseLow
Planning Activity
- PendingManchester/PLA-2026-001677Erection of single storey side and rear extension.
- PendingManchester/OTH-2026-001747Non-Material Amendment to planning permission 143433/FH/2025 to update the approved drawings to allow for the repositioning of the approved rear patio doors by approximately 500mm, removal of the approved side entrance door and, installation of a new window within the side elevation
- PendingManchester/PLA-2026-001439Retention of outbuilding for use as ancillary living accommodation and 1.8m high fencing.
Ownership
- Corporate Ownership50.3%
- Overseas OwnershipNo
- Lease Term Remaining-
- CovenantsRestrictive
- Lease Type-
- Last Ownership Change-
- SourceLand Registry
Connectivity
Area Profile
Schools Nearby
- Beaver Road Primary School0.4 miArea grades2024
Inspected after Ofsted withdrew the single overall grade.
- St Catherine's RC Primary School0.4 miGood
- The Barlow RC High School0.5 miGood
- St Cuthbert's RC Primary School and Nursery, A Voluntary Academy0.5 miGood
4 of 12 nearby schools with published figures were oversubscribed in 2025 - demand, not a catchment.
Comparables
- 133A Fog Lane-£460k-
- 141 Fog Lane-£650k-
- 129 Fog Lane-£495k-
- 125 Fog Lane-£395k-